Original title: Population Ecology of Tunes
John M. McBride, Armand. M. Leroi · September 2026
Why do we not end up listening to the same few songs if people always copy the best ones? Researchers studied this by looking at how often people played Irish traditional tunes over thirteen years. They tracked around 20,000 tunes using computer models of population growth to see why tunes spread. They found that tunes have different built-in appeal: musicians are simply more likely to learn certain ones. Sometimes a less popular tune gets pulled along just because musicians play it back-to-back with a hit tune. A popular recording can also wake up a forgotten tune. Even though musicians clearly prefer specific tunes, overall tune diversity keeps growing because people keep inventing new ones. Selection and variety can easily survive together.
Imagine a school cafeteria where students choose which songs to play during lunch. Some songs get picked a lot, others almost never. Now suppose the cafeteria also has a rule that you can only play songs in pairs—so a weak song might get played just because it's paired with a hit. In this paper, Irish traditional tunes are like those songs, and the tradition of playing tunes in sets creates that pairing effect, helping some tunes survive even if they aren't popular on their own.
This matters because it shows how cultural traditions can stay diverse even when some tunes are clearly more popular. For musicians, it explains why certain tunes spread while others fade, and for scientists, it provides a real-world system to study how selection and diversity coexist in culture, not just in biology.
The abstract does not specify the exact social and melodic features used, nor how much of the 71% unexplained variance might be due to other factors like performance context or recording quality. The study is limited to Irish traditional music, so the findings may not generalize to other cultural domains.
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Population Ecology of Tunes — John M. McBride, Armand. M. Leroi
Abstract licence: CC0
Explanation generated by Synthesis from the abstract — it is not the original paper. This is a preprint, so it hasn't necessarily been peer reviewed.